BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


-----------------------------------------------


UC Davis

Class: 1 Class Rank: 151 Conference: Big West Record: (11-8) Overall: (18-13) Overall Strength =   23.61

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 11-07-2022 Away    W    31.32  75  65    1 246 (  3- 28) California              7.71      2.29                      
  2 11-09-2022 Home    W    23.61  90  67   ZZ  59 (  0-  1) Cal Maritime           -0.00     23.00                      
  3 11-12-2022 Away    L    20.05  75  85    1 108 ( 19- 12) Loy Marymount          -3.56     -6.44                      
  4 11-18-2022 Home    W    26.89  75  60    1 281 ( 13- 20) Arkansas St             3.29     11.71                      
  5 11-22-2022 Neutral W    30.73  82  71    1 220 ( 14- 17) CS Sacramento           7.12      3.88                      
  6 11-26-2022 Away    L    20.24  85  87    1 228 ( 21- 10) WI Milwaukee           -3.36      1.36                      
  7 11-27-2022 Neutral W    19.03  73  71    1 255 ( 19- 16) SE Missouri St         -4.58      6.58                      
  8 11-28-2022 Neutral W    27.22  81  70 1  1 266 ( 15- 17) Boston Univ             3.61      7.39                      
  9 12-01-2022 Home    L    16.35  72  74    1 176 ( 15- 18) Pacific                -7.25      5.25                      
 10 12-13-2022 Home    W    23.61 107  55   ZZ 252 (  0-  1) Holy Names              0.00 *   52.00                      
 11 12-17-2022 Away    L    17.44  68  79    1 126 ( 22-  9) E Washington           -6.17     -4.83                      
 12 12-21-2022 Away    L    19.50  54  81    1   2 ( 27-  4) UCLA                   -4.10    -22.90                      
 13 12-29-2022 Away    L *  20.34  66  74    1 129 ( 22- 10) Hawaii                 -3.26     -4.74                      
 14 01-05-2023 Home    L *  19.50  83  88    1  98 ( 22- 10) UC Irvine              -4.11     -0.89                      
 15 01-07-2023 Home    W *  31.55  67  48    1 279 ( 10- 21) CS Bakersfield          7.94     11.06                      
 16 01-11-2023 Away    W *  24.35  62  54    1 316 (  7- 24) CS Northridge           0.74      7.26                      
 17 01-14-2023 Home    W *  26.13  83  79    1 123 ( 18- 12) CS Fullerton            2.52      1.48                      
 18 01-16-2023 Away    W *  27.17  78  70    1 273 ( 10- 20) UC San Diego            3.56      4.44                      
 19 01-19-2023 Home    L *  19.25  72  74    1 150 ( 21- 11) UC Riverside           -4.36      2.36                      
 20 01-21-2023 Home    W *  13.25  65  63    1 292 (  7- 24) Cal Poly              -10.36     12.36                      
 21 01-26-2023 Away    W *  40.30  79  58    1 279 ( 10- 21) CS Bakersfield         16.69      4.31                      
 22 01-28-2023 Away    L *  23.72  72  75    1 148 ( 17- 15) Long Beach St           0.11     -3.11                      
 23 02-02-2023 Home    W *  33.59  75  63    1 129 ( 22- 10) Hawaii                  9.99      2.01                      
 24 02-09-2023 Away    L *  21.00  65  72    1 150 ( 21- 11) UC Riverside           -2.61     -4.39                      
 25 02-11-2023 Away    L *  19.11  74  84    1 112 ( 24-  7) UC Santa Barbara       -4.50     -5.50                      
 26 02-15-2023 Home    W *  20.60  73  62    1 316 (  7- 24) CS Northridge          -3.01     14.01                      
 27 02-18-2023 Away    L *  29.25  76  78    1  98 ( 22- 10) UC Irvine               5.64     -7.64                      
 28 02-20-2023 Home    W *  22.42  76  66    1 273 ( 10- 20) UC San Diego           -1.19     11.19                      
 29 02-25-2023 Away    W *  24.00  58  52    1 292 (  7- 24) Cal Poly                0.39      5.61                      
 30 03-02-2023 Home    L *  19.36  86  89    1 112 ( 24-  7) UC Santa Barbara       -4.25      1.25                      
 31 03-04-2023 Home    W *  20.97  93  92 2  1 148 ( 17- 15) Long Beach St          -2.64      3.64                      
      Averages              23.61  75.5 71.2

Best game:   40.30 = 21 point win over CS Bakersfield
Worst game:  13.25 = 2 point win over Cal Poly
Team stdev:   5.76